27/07/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Clermont vs Annecy Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51
— our 28% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
27%
Draw
26%
30%
Away Win
28%
53%
Under 2.5
48%
47%
Over 2.5
52%
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
49%
BTTS No
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Clermont v Annecy — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Clermont
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Annecy
EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
365 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
293 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Clermont vs Annecy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Clermont and Annecy couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Clermont at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Clermont vs Annecy?
Clermont 1-1 Annecy in the Friendlies on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Clermont vs Annecy?
Before kick-off our model rated a Clermont win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Clermont 44%, draw 27%, Annecy 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Clermont) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Clermont)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
27 Jul 2024