Doncaster Rovers 3-5 Middlesbrough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jul 2024

Doncaster Rovers
3-5 HT 1-1
Middlesbrough
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Doncaster Rovers vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.0
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 31% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.1pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Doncaster Rovers v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 52%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.92/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.45
-28% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
261 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Doncaster Rovers vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Middlesbrough
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
The Meetings
25.07.2015 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough HAZ
01.02.2014 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
25.10.2013 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 4-0 HT 2-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNCL
17.04.2012 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNCL
01.11.2011 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-3 HT 1-2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
07.05.2011 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 3-0 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNCL

Doncaster Rovers 3-5 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
3-5
AWAY Middlesbrough
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Middlesbrough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough got the better of Doncaster Rovers 5-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Middlesbrough as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 46% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 54%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 1.67 for Middlesbrough.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Middlesbrough?

Doncaster Rovers 3-5 Middlesbrough in the Friendlies on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Middlesbrough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 28%, draw 24%, Middlesbrough 47%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Middlesbrough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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