Hannover 96 3-2 Wolfsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.88
6+ Goals
14%
8.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.29
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
10%
5.5
X/2
12%
5.94
X/X
8%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✓
9%
24.45
2/2
14%
3.67
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.0pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.04/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.94
+31% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Wolfsburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.50 xG 1.18
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
295 Passes 361
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2019 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 3-1 HT 1-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL1
09.11.2018 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-1 HT 1-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
30.10.2018 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0-2 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AFK
28.01.2018 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
25.10.2017 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AFK
09.09.2017 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
3-2
AWAY Wolfsburg
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Wolfsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 squeezed past Wolfsburg 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hannover 96 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 45% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 55%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hannover 96 and 1.50 for Wolfsburg.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Wolfsburg?

Hannover 96 3-2 Wolfsburg in the Friendlies on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Wolfsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 45%, draw 22%, Wolfsburg 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hannover 96), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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