Malaga vs Almeria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malaga v Almeria — Team-Based Signals
Malaga vs Almeria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
Malaga
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-0
Almeria
İS2
2-0
HT 0-0
Malaga
İS2
0-3
HT 0-2
Almeria
İS2
3-1
HT 1-1
Malaga
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Malaga
İS2
Malaga 0-1 Almeria — Actual Match Statistics
Almeria squeezed past Malaga 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Almeria made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Malaga had 53% of the ball to Almeria's 47%, shots finished 12-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Malaga and 1.50 for Almeria.
What was the final score of Malaga vs Almeria?
Malaga 0-1 Almeria in the Friendlies on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malaga vs Almeria?
Before kick-off our model rated an Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Malaga 33%, draw 27%, Almeria 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.