NEC Nijmegen 0-2 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jul 2024

NEC Nijmegen
0-2 HT 0-2
Olympiakos
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.03
Over 2.5
41%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.85
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.19
6+ Goals
8%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 28% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
45%
+13.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
55%
-13.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.7pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NEC Nijmegen v Olympiakos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 43%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.77/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.28
+90% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.5

NEC Nijmegen 0-2 Olympiakos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC Nijmegen
0-2
AWAY Olympiakos
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos beat NEC Nijmegen 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Olympiakos made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 47% of the ball to Olympiakos's 53%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos?

NEC Nijmegen 0-2 Olympiakos in the Friendlies on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 40%, draw 28%, Olympiakos 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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