Ourense CF 1-0 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.99
No
63%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-6.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
46%
-9.1pp
63%
BTTS No
54%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ourense CF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
19.01.2014 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 3-1 HT 2-0 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
1-0
AWAY Racing Ferrol
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF edged past Racing Ferrol 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Ferrol at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ourense CF had 40% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 60%, shots finished 5-8.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Racing Ferrol?

Ourense CF 1-0 Racing Ferrol in the Friendlies on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 23%, draw 25%, Racing Ferrol 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Racing Ferrol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
27 Jul 2024
02:30 Liverpool vs Real Betis Analysis →
12:00 Espanyol vs Girona Analysis →
12:00 Montpellier vs Southampton Analysis →
12:00 Polkowice vs Sleza Wroclaw Analysis →
12:30 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Reims Analysis →
13:00 Racing Santander vs Eibar Analysis →