Wealdstone 1-3 Milton Keynes Dons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jul 2024

Wealdstone
1-3 HT 0-2
Milton Keynes Dons
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Wealdstone vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
43%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.29
Over 2.5
46%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.72
2-3 Goals
35%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.72 — our 31% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.6pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.6pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
40%
+14.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
60%
-14.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.3pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wealdstone v Milton Keynes Dons — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 59%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.93/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.20
-28% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 471 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Wealdstone 1-3 Milton Keynes Dons — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
1-3
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Milton Keynes Dons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milton Keynes Dons beat Wealdstone 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Milton Keynes Dons as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Wealdstone had 43% of the ball to Milton Keynes Dons's 57%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Wealdstone 1-3 Milton Keynes Dons in the Friendlies on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milton Keynes Dons win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 27%, draw 30%, Milton Keynes Dons 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
27 Jul 2024
02:30 Liverpool vs Real Betis Analysis →
12:00 Espanyol vs Girona Analysis →
12:00 Montpellier vs Southampton Analysis →
12:00 Polkowice vs Sleza Wroclaw Analysis →
12:30 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Reims Analysis →
13:00 Racing Santander vs Eibar Analysis →