Motagua 4-2 Lobos UPNFM — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Honduras - National League Apertura, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 23:38
Match Result
HomeVIEW
69%
1.43
Draw
18%
4.09
Away
13%
6.07
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.92
Over
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.97
No
51%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
46%
4-5
24%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Motagua The Market 70%
Signal
AWAY Lobos UPNFM The Market 16%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.34 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.86
0.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.14
Average Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
6 Corners 10
15.04.2024 Motagua Motagua 4-0 HT 2-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
19.02.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-2 HT 0-2 Motagua Motagua HON
09.11.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-4 HT 1-3 Motagua Motagua HON
31.07.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 0-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
02.03.2023 Motagua Motagua 4-3 HT 2-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
22.01.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
REVIEW Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Motagua got the better of Lobos UPNFM 4-2. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

As we said in the preview, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.74, about 57%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for Motagua against 1.17 for Lobos UPNFM.

Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM Result & Final Score

Motagua 4 - 2 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Motagua 69%, draw 18%, Lobos UPNFM 13%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →