Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Motagua v Lobos UPNFM — Team-Based Signals
Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-3
Motagua
HON
1-1
HT 0-1
Lobos UPNFM
HON
4-3
HT 2-1
Lobos UPNFM
HON
2-1
HT 0-1
Motagua
HON
Motagua got the better of Lobos UPNFM 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Motagua and 1.17 for Lobos UPNFM.
What was the final score of Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM?
Motagua 4-2 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM?
Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Motagua 56%, draw 18%, Lobos UPNFM 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.