FK Tukums 2000 1-4 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
21%
7.78
Away
63%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
4.0
Over 2.5
61%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
5%
+10.6pp
21%
Draw
9%
+11.8pp
63%
Away Win
85%
-22.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
22%
+17.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
78%
-17.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 91%
+17% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
0.89/2.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.62
+50% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -11%
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
11.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 47.1
9.5 Crosses 28.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.67
0.95 xG 2.38
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
185 Passes 444
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 46
8 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-1 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
12.04.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 3-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
21.10.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 4-5 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
20.09.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-3 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LETK
29.07.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 7-0 HT 5-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
09.05.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-7 HT 1-3 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1-4
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.75 xG 3.36
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 2
235 Passes 401
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 42
20 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola swept aside FK Tukums 2000 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 40% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 60%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 1.75 to 3.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 4.67 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Rigas Skola?

FK Tukums 2000 1-4 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 16%, draw 21%, Rigas Skola 63%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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