Grobina 1-2 Metta / LU Riga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 39%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.07/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.44
+94% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
16.6 Crosses 20.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.93 xG 1.69
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
256 Passes 424
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
25.05.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
13.04.2024 Grobina Grobina 3-0 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
1-2
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
0.32 xG 0.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
338 Passes 344
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grobina vs Metta / LU Riga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metta / LU Riga squeezed past Grobina 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Metta / LU Riga found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Grobina had 50% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 50%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.32 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Grobina had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Grobina and 0.50 for Metta / LU Riga.

What was the final score of Grobina vs Metta / LU Riga?

Grobina 1-2 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs Metta / LU Riga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Grobina 39%, draw 28%, Metta / LU Riga 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grobina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grobina) ✓ BTTS Yes
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