Stal Mielec 0-1 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 27 Jul 2024

Stal Mielec
0-1 HT 0-1
Katowice
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Stal Mielec vs Katowice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.28
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
11%
13.3
X/1
17%
4.92
X/2
9%
6.11
X/X
7%
4.39
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
16%
4.43
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.45
Value flag · 2/X at 13.45 — our 11% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stal Mielec v Katowice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 34%
+20% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+20% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.4 Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards –

Stal Mielec vs Katowice Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Katowice
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
The Meetings
14.04.2018 Katowice Katowice 0-2 HT 0-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL1

Stal Mielec 0-1 Katowice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
0-1
AWAY Katowice
1.22 xG 1.31
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
472 Passes 236
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice squeezed past Stal Mielec 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Katowice made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Stal Mielec had 63% of the ball to Katowice's 37%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.22 to 1.31.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Katowice?

Stal Mielec 0-1 Katowice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Mielec win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 39%, draw 29%, Katowice 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stal Mielec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stal Mielec) ✓ Under 2.5
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