Slovan Liberec 2-1 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.47/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.42
+6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
24.2 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Liberec
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.20 xG 1.71
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
248 Passes 288
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
18.08.2024 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 3-0 HT 2-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
16.12.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-0 HT 1-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
19.08.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
29.01.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
14.08.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-1 HT 2-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Liberec
2-1
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.60 xG 0.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
285 Passes 272
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slovan Liberec vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Liberec nicked a narrow win over FK Pardubice 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slovan Liberec as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Slovan Liberec had 51% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 49%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.60 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Slovan Liberec and 1.00 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Slovan Liberec vs FK Pardubice?

Slovan Liberec 2-1 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Liberec vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Slovan Liberec 55%, draw 24%, FK Pardubice 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovan Liberec) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slovan Liberec) ✗ BTTS No
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