Sparta Prag vs Mlada Boleslav Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sparta Prag v Mlada Boleslav — Team-Based Signals
Sparta Prag vs Mlada Boleslav Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Sparta Prag
ÇEK
Sparta Prag 3-2 Mlada Boleslav — Actual Match Statistics
Sparta Prag edged past Mlada Boleslav 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sparta Prag had 51% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 49%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.49 to 1.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.17 for Mlada Boleslav.
What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Mlada Boleslav?
Sparta Prag 3-2 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Mlada Boleslav?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 54%, draw 23%, Mlada Boleslav 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.