Manta 2-4 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 27 Jul 2025

Manta
2-4 HT 0-4
Emelec
📅27/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2025

Manta vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manta v Emelec — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manta EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 43%
+20% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.48/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.30
+86% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
15.8 Crosses 14.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Manta vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manta
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Emelec
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.64 xG 1.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
180 Passes 320
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2025 Emelec Emelec 1-1 HT 0-0 Manta Manta EKV1
28.11.2021 Emelec Emelec 4-0 HT 0-0 Manta Manta EKV1
18.07.2021 Manta Manta 0-4 HT 0-2 Emelec Emelec EKV1
07.12.2014 Emelec Emelec 2-1 HT 1-0 Manta Manta EKV1
11.10.2014 Manta Manta 1-3 HT 1-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
27.04.2014 Manta Manta 1-3 HT 0-2 Emelec Emelec EKV1

Manta 2-4 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manta
2-4
AWAY Emelec
1.72 xG 2.35
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
363 Passes 168
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 26
32 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Manta vs Emelec
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Emelec beat Manta 4-2 away from home in the Ecuador - Premier on 27 Jul 2025. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Manta had 65% of the ball to Emelec's 35%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.72 to 2.35.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec lead the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Manta and 2.83 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Manta vs Emelec?

Manta 2-4 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manta vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Manta 39%, draw 26%, Emelec 35%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Manta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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