Macara vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macara v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals
Macara vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Uni. Catolica
EKV1
Macara
EKV1
1-2
HT 0-0
Uni. Catolica
EKV1
Macara 1-4 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics
Uni. Catolica ran out comfortable winners over Macara 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Macara had 49% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 51%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 0.83 to 2.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Macara and 2.17 for Uni. Catolica.
What was the final score of Macara vs Uni. Catolica?
Macara 1-4 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macara vs Uni. Catolica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Macara 32%, draw 24%, Uni. Catolica 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.