Rosenborg 4-1 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 30% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.99
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
15%
5.02
X/2
8%
7.03
X/X
17%
4.7
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
14%
5.05
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +19%
1.54/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.40
+13% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +50%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
425 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
17.5 Crosses 13.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tromsö
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.66 xG 1.42
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
370 Passes 478
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
20.05.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 3-2 HT 0-2 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
09.03.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-0 Tromsö Tromsö HAZ
03.09.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 3-1 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
16.07.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-1 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
28.08.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 4-3 HT 2-3 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
4-1
AWAY Tromsö
1.42 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
423 Passes 441
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg swept aside Tromsö 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rosenborg had 48% of the ball to Tromsö's 52%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.42 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rosenborg and 1.83 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Tromsö?

Rosenborg 4-1 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 43%, draw 30%, Tromsö 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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