Rosenborg 1-0 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.75
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.69
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
18%
4.57
X/2
8%
7.2
X/X
10%
5.07
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
12%
5.09
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.7
Value flag · 2/X at 13.7 — our 10% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +30%
1.39/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.42
+4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 76%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
16.5 Crosses 13.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tromsö
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.31 xG 1.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
357 Passes 485
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 3-2 HT 0-2 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
09.03.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-0 Tromsö Tromsö HAZ
03.09.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 3-1 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
16.07.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-1 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
28.08.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 4-3 HT 2-3 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
23.07.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-0 HT 2-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
1-0
AWAY Tromsö
2.78 xG 0.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
25 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
425 Passes 322
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg squeezed past Tromsö 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rosenborg had 56% of the ball to Tromsö's 44%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 2.78 to 0.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rosenborg's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Rosenborg and 1.83 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Tromsö?

Rosenborg 1-0 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 47%, draw 27%, Tromsö 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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