HamKam 3-3 Viking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.53
No
57%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.45
2-3 Goals
35%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.62
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 32% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.84
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
14%
6.2
X/2
12%
5.54
X/X
17%
5.18
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
18%
3.28
2/X
5%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
61%
-17.8pp
57%
BTTS No
39%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -21%
0.93/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.39
-39% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
21.4 Crosses 22.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Viking
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.42 xG 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
226 Passes 487
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 39
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2024 Viking Viking 3-0 HT 2-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
04.11.2023 HamKam HamKam 3-0 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
30.04.2023 Viking Viking 7-3 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
11.09.2022 HamKam HamKam 1-2 HT 1-1 Viking Viking NOR
25.05.2022 Viking Viking 1-1 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
31.07.2018 HamKam HamKam 2-3 HT 2-0 Viking Viking NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
3-3
AWAY Viking
0.95 xG 1.85
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
281 Passes 450
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 34
29 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Viking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam and Viking shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HamKam had 41% of the ball to Viking's 59%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.95 to 1.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for HamKam and 2.67 for Viking.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Viking?

HamKam 3-3 Viking in the Norway - Eliteserien on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Viking?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split HamKam 35%, draw 28%, Viking 37%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Viking) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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