Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarpsborg 08 v Sandefjord — Team-Based Signals
Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-1
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
6-1
HT 3-1
Sandefjord
NOR
1-1
HT 1-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
4-3
HT 2-2
Sandefjord
NOR
Sarpsborg 08 2-1 Sandefjord — Actual Match Statistics
Sarpsborg 08 edged past Sandefjord 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sarpsborg 08 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 48% of the ball to Sandefjord's 52%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.08 to 0.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sarpsborg 08's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 2.33 for Sandefjord.
What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord?
Sarpsborg 08 2-1 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 47%, draw 23%, Sandefjord 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.