Stromsgodset 2-3 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 4 Aug 2024

Stromsgodset
2-3 HT 1-2
Brann
📅04/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Stromsgodset vs Brann Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.74
Over 2.5
55%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.62
2-3 Goals
40%
2.14
4-5 Goals
24%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.24
1/2
5%
23.15
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
15%
5.99
X/2
14%
6.17
X/X
9%
6.3
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.7
2/2
14%
3.37
2/X
8%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
33%
+11.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
67%
-11.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.5pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stromsgodset v Brann — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.52/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.27
-24% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
22.0 Crosses 16.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3

Stromsgodset vs Brann Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Brann
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 1.52
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
245 Passes 354
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 37
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.06.2024 Brann Brann 0-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
03.12.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 3-0 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
16.07.2023 Brann Brann 1-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
21.08.2021 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 3-1 HT 0-1 Brann Brann NOR
30.05.2021 Brann Brann 3-0 HT 2-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
29.08.2020 Brann Brann 1-1 HT 1-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR

Stromsgodset 2-3 Brann — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
2-3
AWAY Brann
1.65 xG 1.70
32% Ball Possession 68%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
194 Passes 527
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 37
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann squeezed past Stromsgodset 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stromsgodset at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 32% of the ball to Brann's 68%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.65 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stromsgodset and 1.00 for Brann.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Brann?

Stromsgodset 2-3 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 43%, draw 23%, Brann 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stromsgodset) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stromsgodset) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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