Brann 0-0 Stromsgodset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.74
Over 2.5
61%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.39
2-3 Goals
37%
2.12
4-5 Goals
31%
2.52
6+ Goals
15%
5.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
18.7
X/1
11%
3.8
X/2
7%
15.5
X/X
7%
8.21
2/1
8%
19.2
2/2
6%
10.4
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
18.5
Value flag · 2/X at 18.5 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-11.6pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.0pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +20%
2.24/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.10
-15% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
43.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.5 Crosses 14.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brann
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.57 xG 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
330 Passes 273
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
36 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 3-0 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
16.07.2023 Brann Brann 1-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
21.08.2021 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 3-1 HT 0-1 Brann Brann NOR
30.05.2021 Brann Brann 3-0 HT 2-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
29.08.2020 Brann Brann 1-1 HT 1-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
29.07.2020 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 3-1 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brann
0-0
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.94 xG 1.14
70% Ball Possession 30%
19 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
460 Passes 143
82% Pass Accuracy 61%
52 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brann vs Stromsgodset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann and Stromsgodset played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Brann at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brann had 70% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 30%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.94 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stromsgodset led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brann and 1.67 for Stromsgodset.

What was the final score of Brann vs Stromsgodset?

Brann 0-0 Stromsgodset in the Norway - Eliteserien on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann vs Stromsgodset?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Brann 56%, draw 25%, Stromsgodset 19%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brann) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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