Sarpsborg 08 1-2 Bodo/Glimt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.61
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.92
2-3 Goals
39%
2.06
4-5 Goals
26%
2.59
6+ Goals
13%
5.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.77
1/2 EV+ ✓
12%
19.05
1/X
4%
15.2
X/1
6%
10.4
X/2
13%
4.18
X/X
11%
6.94
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.98
2/X
9%
15.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.05 — our 12% vs market 2.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
50%
Away Win
57%
-6.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.5pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 62%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.14/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.13
-6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +19%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 82%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.9
16.1 Crosses 18.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bodo/Glimt
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.96 xG 2.10
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
346 Passes 462
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 39
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-0 HT 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
10.04.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-2 HT 0-2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
12.08.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-4 HT 0-2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
09.07.2022 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 4-1 HT 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
17.10.2021 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-1 HT 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
17.07.2021 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-2 HT 1-1 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 vs Bodo/Glimt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodo/Glimt nicked a narrow win over Sarpsborg 08 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bodo/Glimt as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bodo/Glimt led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 2.67 for Bodo/Glimt.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Bodo/Glimt?

Sarpsborg 08 1-2 Bodo/Glimt in the Norway - Eliteserien on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Bodo/Glimt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 26%, draw 24%, Bodo/Glimt 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodo/Glimt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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