Tromsö 0-2 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 28 Jun 2024

Tromsö
0-2 HT 0-1
Molde
📅28/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Tromsö vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.55
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.38
6+ Goals
12%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.54
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
11%
6.59
X/2
17%
4.97
X/X
7%
4.67
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
15%
3.05
2/X
10%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+5.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-1.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tromsö v Molde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +19%
1.24/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.21
+43% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
14.3 Crosses 15.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Tromsö vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Molde
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.97 xG 1.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
388 Passes 470
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.10.2023 Molde Molde 1-4 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
10.04.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
01.10.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 0-1 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
10.07.2022 Molde Molde 5-1 HT 3-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
16.10.2021 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
13.05.2021 Tromsö Tromsö 3-3 HT 2-3 Molde Molde NOR

Tromsö 0-2 Molde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
0-2
AWAY Molde
0.74 xG 1.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 0
494 Passes 485
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde got the better of Tromsö 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Molde found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tromsö had 50% of the ball to Molde's 50%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.74 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tromsö and 2.17 for Molde.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Molde?

Tromsö 0-2 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 37%, draw 23%, Molde 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Molde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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