Deportivo Recoleta 1-3 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
14%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -12%
1.78/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.75
+100% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
224 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 26.0
3.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
29.04.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 1-3 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
16.02.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
1-3
AWAY Cerro Porteno
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno saw off Deportivo Recoleta 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Deportivo Recoleta had 46% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 54%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Recoleta and 2.50 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno?

Deportivo Recoleta 1-3 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Recoleta 19%, draw 28%, Cerro Porteno 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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