Rakow Czestochowa 1-2 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 27 Jul 2025

Rakow Czestochowa
1-2 HT 1-1
Wisla Plock
📅27/07/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Rakow Czestochowa vs Wisla Plock Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.53
6+ Goals
11%
14.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.99
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
16.0
X/1
12%
3.99
X/2
7%
11.45
X/X
9%
5.24
2/1
9%
24.65
2/2
7%
9.86
2/X
8%
18.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rakow Czestochowa v Wisla Plock — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.80/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.93
-7% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
20.5 Crosses 14.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Rakow Czestochowa vs Wisla Plock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Wisla Plock
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.21 xG 0.58
52% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
313 Passes 279
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.05.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-2 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
05.11.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 7-1 HT 4-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
25.02.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
29.08.2021 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-1 HT 1-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
13.03.2021 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 2-2 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
02.10.2020 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL

Rakow Czestochowa 1-2 Wisla Plock — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
1-2
AWAY Wisla Plock
0.78 xG 2.42
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
410 Passes 220
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rakow Czestochowa vs Wisla Plock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock nicked a narrow win over Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rakow Czestochowa at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Rakow Czestochowa had 61% of the ball to Wisla Plock's 39%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.78 to 2.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Wisla Plock's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Rakow Czestochowa and 0.83 for Wisla Plock.

What was the final score of Rakow Czestochowa vs Wisla Plock?

Rakow Czestochowa 1-2 Wisla Plock in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rakow Czestochowa vs Wisla Plock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 54%, draw 26%, Wisla Plock 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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