Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-2 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 27% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.97
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
15%
5.17
X/2
11%
7.04
X/X
16%
5.05
2/1
15%
24.2
2/2
8%
4.8
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.58/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.38
+23% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
22.0 Crosses 20.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.18 xG 1.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
333 Passes 310
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-1 HT 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
01.09.2024 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
11.02.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-3 HT 1-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
04.08.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
03.02.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
22.07.2022 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-2 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
3-2
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.63 xG 1.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
364 Passes 244
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew Lodz
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Jagiellonia Bialystok edged past Widzew Lodz 3-2 in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 27 Jul 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 59% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 41%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.63 to 1.19.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 0.83 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew Lodz?

Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-2 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 45%, draw 28%, Widzew Lodz 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✗ Under 2.5
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