Widzew Lodz 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 9 Mar 2025

Widzew Lodz
0-1 HT 0-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
12%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.55
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
24.7
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
8%
6.58
X/2
13%
5.1
X/X
9%
4.85
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
18%
3.08
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.7 — our 13% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Widzew Lodz v Jagiellonia Bialystok — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 46%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +5%
1.24/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.76
+7% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
21.2 Crosses 12.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 1.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
315 Passes 332
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 28
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
11.02.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-3 HT 1-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
04.08.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
03.02.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
22.07.2022 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-2 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
16.05.2014 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 1-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL

Widzew Lodz 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
0-1
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
1.56 xG 0.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
291 Passes 340
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 23
35 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Jagiellonia Bialystok edged past Widzew Lodz 1-0 away from home in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 9 Mar 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 50% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 50%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.56 to 0.58.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Widzew Lodz and 1.33 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Widzew Lodz 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 31%, draw 25%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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