Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 1 Sep 2024

Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 HT 1-0
Widzew Lodz
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew Lodz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.68
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
29%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.36
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
12%
4.54
X/2
8%
8.62
X/X
7%
5.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.45
2/2
16%
5.79
2/X
7%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jagiellonia Bialystok v Widzew Lodz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
2.08/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.44
+28% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
25.5 Crosses 19.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew Lodz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.26 xG 1.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
297 Passes 320
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-3 HT 1-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
04.08.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
03.02.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
22.07.2022 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-2 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
16.05.2014 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 1-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
13.12.2013 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL

Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 Widzew Lodz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.52 xG 0.61
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
435 Passes 301
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 6
FAQ Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew Lodz
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Jagiellonia Bialystok edged past Widzew Lodz 1-0 in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 1 Sep 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 57% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 43%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.52 to 0.61.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 1.00 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew Lodz?

Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 48%, draw 22%, Widzew Lodz 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
1 Sep 2024
13:15 Gornik Zabrze vs Lechia Gdansk Analysis →
15:45 Legia Varşova vs Motor Lublin Analysis →
18:30 Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw Analysis →