Legia Varşova vs Motor Lublin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Legia Varşova v Motor Lublin — Team-Based Signals
Legia Varşova vs Motor Lublin Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-3
Motor Lublin
HAZ
1-2
HT 1-0
Legia Varşova
POLK
Legia Varşova 5-2 Motor Lublin — Actual Match Statistics
Legia Varşova cruised past Motor Lublin 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Legia Varşova had 61% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 39%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 3.50 to 0.84.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Legia Varşova and 2.00 for Motor Lublin.
What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Motor Lublin?
Legia Varşova 5-2 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Motor Lublin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 49%, draw 26%, Motor Lublin 24%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.