Gornik Zabrze 2-3 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 1 Sep 2024

Gornik Zabrze
2-3 HT 0-2
Lechia Gdansk
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Gornik Zabrze vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.0
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.54
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
18%
4.52
X/2
7%
7.82
X/X
7%
5.19
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
9%
5.46
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gornik Zabrze v Lechia Gdansk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -14%
1.80/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.65
+17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 75%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
16.7 Crosses 21.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Gornik Zabrze vs Lechia Gdansk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.79 xG 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
334 Passes 297
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.02.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-1 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
18.11.2022 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
18.04.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-3 HT 0-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
23.10.2021 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-1 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
20.02.2021 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-0 HT 2-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
13.09.2020 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-0 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL

Gornik Zabrze 2-3 Lechia Gdansk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
2-3
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.46 xG 1.27
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
546 Passes 164
89% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Gornik Zabrze vs Lechia Gdansk
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lechia Gdansk edged past Gornik Zabrze 3-2 away from home in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 1 Sep 2024. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 72% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 28%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.46 to 1.27.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lechia Gdansk lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 1.50 for Lechia Gdansk.

What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Lechia Gdansk?

Gornik Zabrze 2-3 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 52%, draw 25%, Lechia Gdansk 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✓ Over 2.5
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