Pogon Szczecin 5-3 Slask Wroclaw — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 28% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.59
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
13%
4.56
X/2
6%
7.61
X/X
8%
5.17
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
15%
5.3
2/X
9%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.5pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +20%
1.77/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.26
+14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.4 Crosses 15.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Szczecin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Slask Wroclaw
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.74 xG 1.09
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
464 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 0-1 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
30.08.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-2 HT 0-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
05.02.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-2 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
24.07.2022 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 2-1 HT 1-1 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
07.05.2022 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 1-1 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
21.11.2021 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 2-1 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Szczecin
5-3
AWAY Slask Wroclaw
1.39 xG 0.98
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
352 Passes 187
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Pogon Szczecin beat Slask Wroclaw 5-3 in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 1 Sep 2024. Half-time: 3-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 62% of the ball to Slask Wroclaw's 38%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.39 to 0.98.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slask Wroclaw lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 1.33 for Slask Wroclaw.

What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw?

Pogon Szczecin 5-3 Slask Wroclaw in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 46%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 27%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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