Korona Kielce 0-2 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
14%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.31
1/2
7%
23.3
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
12%
8.38
X/2
21%
4.58
X/X
9%
5.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
35.0
2/2
18%
2.49
2/X
5%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 35.0 — our 6% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 54%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.30/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.46
+14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
19.2 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.35 xG 1.77
45% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
282 Passes 364
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.02.2025 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-1 HT 1-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
28.07.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-1 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
25.02.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 3-3 HT 1-2 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
06.12.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-1 HT 1-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POLK
20.08.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-0 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
29.01.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-2 HT 2-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
0-2
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.19 xG 1.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 7
312 Passes 300
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 28
36 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Korona Kielce vs Legia Varşova
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Legia Varşova beat Korona Kielce 2-0 away from home in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 27 Jul 2025. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 52% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 48%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.19 to 1.45.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Korona Kielce and 1.67 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Legia Varşova?

Korona Kielce 0-2 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 31%, draw 24%, Legia Varşova 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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