Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 27 Aug 2024

Belgrano Cordoba
0-1 HT 0-0
Gimnasia La Plata
📅27/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Belgrano Cordoba vs Gimnasia La Plata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.51
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.15
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.37
X/2
10%
6.58
X/X
12%
3.62
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
10%
5.57
2/X
6%
15.05
Value flag · X/1 at 4.37 — our 23% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.4pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Belgrano Cordoba v Gimnasia La Plata — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -17%
1.00/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.34
-7% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
22.2 Crosses 18.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8

Belgrano Cordoba vs Gimnasia La Plata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.01 xG 0.57
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
210 Passes 273
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.04.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-2 HT 0-1 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
03.11.2018 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
25.11.2017 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
11.12.2016 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
11.04.2016 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 3-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
31.05.2015 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ

Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
0-1
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
0.79 xG 1.15
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 341
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Belgrano Cordoba vs Gimnasia La Plata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia La Plata squeezed past Belgrano Cordoba 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Belgrano Cordoba at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Belgrano Cordoba had 47% of the ball to Gimnasia La Plata's 53%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.79 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Belgrano Cordoba had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Belgrano Cordoba and 0.33 for Gimnasia La Plata.

What was the final score of Belgrano Cordoba vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina - Premier League on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belgrano Cordoba vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belgrano Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Belgrano Cordoba 48%, draw 26%, Gimnasia La Plata 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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