Rosario Central 1-0 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.36
Over 2.5
28%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
12%
7.16
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
12%
4.34
X/2
10%
6.47
X/X
20%
3.18
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
11%
5.81
2/X
9%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
72%
Under 2.5
70%
+2.0pp
28%
Over 2.5
30%
-2.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.4pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.38/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.43
+31% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 71%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
23.1 Crosses 15.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 0.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
256 Passes 274
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-1 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
20.08.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
18.04.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-2 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
14.10.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-1 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
20.11.2021 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
30.07.2019 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-2 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
1-0
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
0.65 xG 0.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
264 Passes 248
69% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central nicked a narrow win over Atletico Tucuman 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 35% / 26%) promised a tight game; Rosario Central found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rosario Central had 51% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 49%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.65 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosario Central had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rosario Central and 1.00 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Atletico Tucuman?

Rosario Central 1-0 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 39%, draw 35%, Atletico Tucuman 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosario Central), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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