Estudiantes 1-1 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 27 Aug 2024

Estudiantes
1-1 HT 0-0
Boca Juniors
📅27/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.41
Over 2.5
44%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
1.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
6.71
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.57
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
12%
4.63
X/2
9%
6.1
X/X
12%
3.22
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
15%
5.26
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.0pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
67%
-11.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
33%
+11.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes v Boca Juniors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.34/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.21
+0% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
22.0 Crosses 17.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1

Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.74 xG 0.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
281 Passes 398
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.05.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
13.04.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
23.11.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-3 HT 2-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJK
29.10.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
16.04.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
25.07.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 3-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ

Estudiantes 1-1 Boca Juniors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
1-1
AWAY Boca Juniors
0.73 xG 0.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
278 Passes 279
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes and Boca Juniors couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Estudiantes had 50% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 50%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 0.73 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Estudiantes and 1.00 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors?

Estudiantes 1-1 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 45%, draw 26%, Boca Juniors 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estudiantes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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