Bucheon 1995 1-2 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Aug 2025

📅27/08/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
3.08
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.41
Over 2.5
43%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
6.39
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
5.38
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.0
X/1
14%
6.08
X/2
14%
4.49
X/X
12%
3.36
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.42
2/X
7%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
29%
+12.0pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.1pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
67%
-10.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
33%
+10.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.5pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 45%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.27/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.43
+0% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucheon 1995
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Gwangju
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.29 xG 1.14
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
287 Passes 355
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 2-0 HT 2-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOK
19.06.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-3 HT 1-3 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
30.08.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR2
05.07.2022 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 2-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
25.05.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
23.04.2022 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
POST-MATCH Bucheon 1995 vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju nicked a narrow win over Bucheon 1995 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bucheon 1995 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bucheon 1995 and 1.67 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Bucheon 1995 vs Gwangju?

Bucheon 1995 1-2 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucheon 1995 vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bucheon 1995 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bucheon 1995 41%, draw 25%, Gwangju 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bucheon 1995) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOK More South Kore - K League Classic
27 Aug 2025
13:30 Gangwon vs Jeonbuk Motors Analysis →