Famalicao U23 2-0 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 27 Aug 2025

📅27/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.0pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.99/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.00
-49% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +72%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Rio Ave U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 1-2 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 UŞGA
21.08.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 4-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
2-0
AWAY Rio Ave U23
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 saw off Rio Ave U23 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Famalicao U23 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 48% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 52%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Famalicao U23 and 1.00 for Rio Ave U23.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Famalicao U23 2-0 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 27/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 47%, draw 27%, Rio Ave U23 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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