Kampala City vs SC Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kampala City v SC Villa — Team-Based Signals
Kampala City vs SC Villa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
SC Villa
UGA
1-1
HT 0-0
Kampala City
UGA
Kampala City 1-2 SC Villa — Actual Match Statistics
SC Villa squeezed past Kampala City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Kampala City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Kampala City had 56% of the ball to SC Villa's 44%, shots finished 10-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kampala City had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kampala City and 0.50 for SC Villa.
What was the final score of Kampala City vs SC Villa?
Kampala City 1-2 SC Villa in the UGS8 on 27/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kampala City vs SC Villa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 41%, draw 30%, SC Villa 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kampala City), Under 2.5 went the other way.