Carabobo 5-0 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 27 Aug 2025

📅27/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 20%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+135% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.79 xG 0.56
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
279 Passes 293
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2025 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VENK
12.07.2025 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
03.02.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
30.09.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
29.04.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 2-1 HT 2-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
31.03.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
5-0
AWAY Portuguesa FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo ran out comfortable winners over Portuguesa FC 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Carabobo had 52% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 48%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Carabobo and 0.33 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Portuguesa FC?

Carabobo 5-0 Portuguesa FC in the VENK on 27/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 57%, draw 22%, Portuguesa FC 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VENK More VENK
27 Aug 2025
23:00 UCV vs Academia Anzoátegui Analysis →