Malkiya 1-1 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
42%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.82
Over 2.5
37%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.85
No
61%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.64
6+ Goals
6%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 37% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.7pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.6pp
42%
Away Win
54%
-12.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
51%
+11.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
49%
-11.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.8pp
61%
BTTS No
50%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malkiya EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 58%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.22/2.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.09
+26% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -22%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
211 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malkiya
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Muharraq
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.09.2021 Muharraq Muharraq 3-1 HT 0-0 Malkiya Malkiya BAHKK
01.05.2021 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 1-1 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
02.01.2021 Muharraq Muharraq 2-0 HT 1-0 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malkiya
1-1
AWAY Muharraq
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Malkiya vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malkiya and Muharraq shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Muharraq at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Malkiya had 33% of the ball to Muharraq's 67%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Muharraq led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Malkiya and 2.00 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Malkiya vs Muharraq?

Malkiya 1-1 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malkiya vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Malkiya 26%, draw 32%, Muharraq 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Muharraq), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Muharraq) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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