Khalidiya 1-0 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

Khalidiya
1-0 HT 1-0
Al Riffa
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2024/2025

Khalidiya vs Al Riffa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.58 — our 28% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Khalidiya v Al Riffa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.87/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.00
-42% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Khalidiya vs Al Riffa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khalidiya
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Riffa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.05.2024 Khalidiya Khalidiya 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
03.12.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-0 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
16.04.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 3-2 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
28.01.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 3-1 HT 3-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
15.09.2022 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAHSK
14.02.2022 Khalidiya Khalidiya 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH

Khalidiya 1-0 Al Riffa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khalidiya
1-0
AWAY Al Riffa
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Khalidiya vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya squeezed past Al Riffa 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Khalidiya found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Khalidiya had 48% of the ball to Al Riffa's 52%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Riffa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Khalidiya and 1.33 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Khalidiya vs Al Riffa?

Khalidiya 1-0 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khalidiya vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Khalidiya 39%, draw 29%, Al Riffa 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khalidiya) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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