Goytre United 0-2 Caerau (Ely) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.31
No
40%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-12.4pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goytre United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.59/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.76/3.81
+58% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -57%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
385 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goytre United
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Caerau (Ely)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
02.08.2024 Goytre United Goytre United 3-2 HT 1-1 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALLK
09.04.2024 Goytre United Goytre United 6-2 HT 4-2 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
08.09.2023 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 3-0 HT 1-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
POST-MATCH Goytre United vs Caerau (Ely)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) beat Goytre United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Caerau (Ely) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Goytre United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Goytre United and 2.33 for Caerau (Ely).

What was the final score of Goytre United vs Caerau (Ely)?

Goytre United 0-2 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goytre United vs Caerau (Ely)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Goytre United 34%, draw 28%, Caerau (Ely) 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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