Trefelin 1-1 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Sep 2024

Trefelin
1-1 HT 1-0
Llanelli Town
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Trefelin vs Llanelli Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.74
Over 2.5
63%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-4.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
33%
+4.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
67%
-4.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.1pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trefelin v Llanelli Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 57%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.42/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/1.07
-4% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Trefelin vs Llanelli Town Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Llanelli Town
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
The Meetings
02.02.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 2-2 HT 1-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
29.09.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
29.04.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 0-4 HT 0-2 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
06.12.2022 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-4 HT 0-3 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
26.03.2022 Trefelin Trefelin 0-1 HT 0-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Llanelli Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin and Llanelli Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Llanelli Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Trefelin and 1.80 for Llanelli Town.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Llanelli Town?

Trefelin 1-1 Llanelli Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Llanelli Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 28%, draw 24%, Llanelli Town 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Llanelli Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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