Trefelin 2-2 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 2 Feb 2024

Trefelin
2-2 HT 1-0
Llanelli Town
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Trefelin vs Llanelli Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.34
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
53%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.14
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
18%
+8.4pp
53%
Away Win
66%
-13.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.7pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trefelin v Llanelli Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 70%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.98/2.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.85/0.83
-15% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +40%
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Trefelin vs Llanelli Town Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Llanelli Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
The Meetings
29.09.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
29.04.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 0-4 HT 0-2 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
06.12.2022 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-4 HT 0-3 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
26.03.2022 Trefelin Trefelin 0-1 HT 0-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Llanelli Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin and Llanelli Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Llanelli Town at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Trefelin and 1.75 for Llanelli Town.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Llanelli Town?

Trefelin 2-2 Llanelli Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Llanelli Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 20%, draw 27%, Llanelli Town 53%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Llanelli Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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