Ammanford 2-1 Pontardawe Town FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.2pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontardawe Town FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.19/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/2.31
+6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Pontardawe Town FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
30.09.2023 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
22.04.2023 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
06.12.2022 Ammanford Ammanford 3-2 HT 1-2 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Pontardawe Town FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford nicked a narrow win over Pontardawe Town FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ammanford as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ammanford had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ammanford and 1.67 for Pontardawe Town FC.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Pontardawe Town FC?

Ammanford 2-1 Pontardawe Town FC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Pontardawe Town FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 47%, draw 24%, Pontardawe Town FC 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ammanford), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ammanford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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