Abergavenny Town 0-3 Briton Ferry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
9.57
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
56%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
7%
+13.3pp
23%
Draw
14%
+9.4pp
56%
Away Win
79%
-22.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.8pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abergavenny Town EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 84%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.95/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.41
-2% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -50%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abergavenny Town
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Briton Ferry
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.75
29.09.2023 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 3-0 HT 0-0 Abergavenny Town Abergavenny Town GALFAW
21.07.2023 Abergavenny Town Abergavenny Town 0-2 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GALLK
22.04.2023 Abergavenny Town Abergavenny Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GALFAW
06.12.2022 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 8-0 HT 4-0 Abergavenny Town Abergavenny Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Abergavenny Town vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Briton Ferry swept aside Abergavenny Town 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Briton Ferry as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Briton Ferry led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Abergavenny Town and 3.75 for Briton Ferry.

What was the final score of Abergavenny Town vs Briton Ferry?

Abergavenny Town 0-3 Briton Ferry in the Wales - FAW Championship on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abergavenny Town vs Briton Ferry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Briton Ferry win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Abergavenny Town 21%, draw 23%, Briton Ferry 56%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Briton Ferry), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Briton Ferry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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