Gresford Athletic 1-3 Bangor 1876 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.5pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.9pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-5.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.6pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor 1876 EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.26/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/2.00
-22% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +117% / -25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gresford Athletic
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bangor 1876
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
29.09.2023 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 1-3 HT 0-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
05.08.2023 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 0-3 HT 0-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALLK
POST-MATCH Gresford Athletic vs Bangor 1876
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangor 1876 got the better of Gresford Athletic 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 19% / 39% — and on the day Bangor 1876 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gresford Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Gresford Athletic and 0.50 for Bangor 1876.

What was the final score of Gresford Athletic vs Bangor 1876?

Gresford Athletic 1-3 Bangor 1876 in the Wales - FAW Championship on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gresford Athletic vs Bangor 1876?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gresford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gresford Athletic 41%, draw 19%, Bangor 1876 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gresford Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gresford Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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