Cliftonville 1-3 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

Cliftonville
1-3 HT 1-0
Larne FC
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Cliftonville vs Larne FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
37%
3.11
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.52
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.7
6+ Goals
6%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 40% vs market 33.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.02
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
7%
5.37
X/2
12%
5.25
X/X
21%
3.9
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
10%
3.89
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.6pp
37%
Draw
29%
+8.7pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-7.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cliftonville v Larne FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.29/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.09
-8% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Cliftonville vs Larne FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Larne FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 8-1 HT 4-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
30.03.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-0 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRK
03.11.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
26.08.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-1 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
11.04.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
18.02.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC beat Cliftonville 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 37% / 29%) promised a tight game; Larne FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cliftonville and 2.50 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Larne FC?

Cliftonville 1-3 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 34%, draw 37%, Larne FC 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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