Al Shahaniya 2-1 Al Duhail SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
9.57
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
62%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.17
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.21
2-3 Goals
35%
2.33
4-5 Goals
27%
2.38
6+ Goals
17%
4.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
25%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
8%
+13.5pp
17%
Draw
13%
+4.8pp
62%
Away Win
80%
-18.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shahaniya EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 85%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
0.49/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/0.95
-47% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +4%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 506 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
Crosses 21.8
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shahaniya
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Duhail SC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
27.02.2020 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
28.09.2019 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
30.11.2014 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 0-5 HT 0-3 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shahaniya
2-1
AWAY Al Duhail SC
0.64 xG 2.72
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 34
5 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 21
225 Passes 490
77% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 51
2 Crosses 52
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Shahaniya vs Al Duhail SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shahaniya squeezed past Al Duhail SC 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Duhail SC at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Al Shahaniya had 33% of the ball to Al Duhail SC's 67%, shots finished 11-34, expected goals 0.64 to 2.72 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Duhail SC.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Duhail SC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Shahaniya and 3.00 for Al Duhail SC.

What was the final score of Al Shahaniya vs Al Duhail SC?

Al Shahaniya 2-1 Al Duhail SC in the Qatar League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shahaniya vs Al Duhail SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Shahaniya 21%, draw 17%, Al Duhail SC 62%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Duhail SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Duhail SC) ✓ Over 2.5
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