Umm Salal 2-2 Qatar SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 27 Sep 2024

Umm Salal
2-2 HT 0-0
Qatar SC
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Qatar League – 2024/2025

Umm Salal vs Qatar SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.12
2-3 Goals
34%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
13%
9.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 29% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Umm Salal v Qatar SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Qatar SC EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +24%
1.47/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.86
-33% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 80%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
16.9 Crosses 19.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Umm Salal vs Qatar SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umm Salal
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Qatar SC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 1.26
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
286 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Qatar SC Qatar SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
08.10.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KATYK
01.09.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-2 HT 1-2 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
08.05.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-0 HT 0-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
24.01.2023 Qatar SC Qatar SC 4-1 HT 2-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
25.09.2022 Qatar SC Qatar SC 1-3 HT 1-2 Umm Salal Umm Salal KATYK

Umm Salal 2-2 Qatar SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umm Salal
2-2
AWAY Qatar SC
1.58 xG 1.99
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 21
12 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
223 Passes 378
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Umm Salal vs Qatar SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umm Salal and Qatar SC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Umm Salal had 41% of the ball to Qatar SC's 59%, shots finished 16-21, expected goals 1.58 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Umm Salal had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Umm Salal and 1.33 for Qatar SC.

What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Qatar SC?

Umm Salal 2-2 Qatar SC in the Qatar League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Qatar SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Qatar SC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 33%, draw 29%, Qatar SC 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Qatar SC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Qatar SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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